Eddie Salcedo

25 yrs · Striker · Italy
Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€554k – €2.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€521k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€680k – €2.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.3M – €1.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€554k – €2.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€521k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€680k – €2.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Eddie Salcedo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.26x the positional average in the league (1533 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 68

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average29.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.2M vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationNeutral-4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1533 (66% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.59
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.64
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
29 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1225
Opponent strength
1226
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€680k – €2.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; league level up (+40 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -46% to -9%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1533 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1ST21153366%910.590.64122612250.43
2024/25Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1ST1978434%520.800.73124411960.35
2021/22Spezia CalcioSerie AST1242612%000.000.46145813190.89
2020/21Hellas VeronaSerie AST2174722%210.360.47144513690.90
2019/20Hellas VeronaSerie AST1767720%100.130.52146513140.82
2017/18Genoa CFCSerie AST2311%000.000.47131013420.86

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC953831—
2024/25Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC748410—
2022/23Italy CupAS Bari16600—
2020/21Italy CupHellas Verona221011—
2017/18Italy CupGenoa CFC1400—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Lucas Villafañez
Super League 1 · 2016
25€1.3M€1.1Mflat
David Pollet
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
26€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Godsway Donyoh
Superliga · 2019
25€1.5M€500kfell
Stanley Elbers
Eredivisie · 2017
25€900k€500kfell
Joseph Paintsil
Super Lig · 2021
23€2.5M€12.0Mrose
Egor Golenkov
Premier Liga · 2024
25€2.0M€1.7Mflat
Josh Ginnelly
Scottish Premiership · 2023
26€900k€900kflat
Dalibor Veselinovic
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
27€900k€700kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
2 Jul 2025InterOFI CreteFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2025OFI CreteInterFree / loan€1.0M
11 Sept 2024InterOFI CreteFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2024LeccoInterFree / loan€1.0M
10 Jan 2024InterLeccoFree / loan€1.5M
9 Jan 2024EldenseInterFree / loan€1.5M
25 Aug 2023InterEldenseFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2023GenoaInterFree / loan€2.5M
31 Jan 2023InterGenoaFree / loan€2.7M
30 Jan 2023BariInterFree / loan€2.7M
1 Sept 2022InterBariFree / loan€3.5M
30 Jun 2022GenoaInterFree / loan€3.5M
29 Jun 2022Spezia CalcioGenoaFree / loan€3.5M
31 Aug 2021GenoaSpezia CalcioFree / loan€8.5M
30 Aug 2021InterGenoaFree / loan€8.5M
30 Jun 2021Hellas VeronaInterFree / loan€8.5M
25 Sept 2020InterHellas VeronaFree / loan€10.0M
31 Aug 2020GenoaInterFree / loan€10.0M
30 Aug 2020Hellas VeronaGenoaFree / loan€10.0M
31 Aug 2019GenoaHellas VeronaFree / loan€2.0M
30 Aug 2019InterGenoaFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2019GenoaInter€10.0M€2.0M
30 Jun 2019Inter U19GenoaFree / loan€2.0M
16 Jul 2018GenoaInter U19Free / loan€2.0M
1 Jan 2018Genoa U19GenoaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Genoa CFC YouthGenoa U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Eddie Salcedo · MoneyballAI