Francisco Moura

The model rates Francisco Moura's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-9.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-8.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.4M-10.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1320 (43% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.27

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.15

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

70 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.58 (rank 9)

Team strength (Elo)

1594

Opponent strength

1298

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€3.4M – €10.3M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 41 pts; team strength up (+111 Elo); role change LM -> LB; relative output down 23% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -65% to -14%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1320 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

66 (DEF)

Relative output kept

57%–168%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

76%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.