Ronald Araujo

The model rates Ronald Araujo's performance-implied value at EUR 9.5M-28.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.0M-26.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.3M-23.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1061 (31% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.25

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.10

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

89 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 2)

Team strength (Elo)

1787

Opponent strength

1440

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€7.3M – €23.4M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 30% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -66% to -14%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1061 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.