Josip Stanisic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Josip Stanisic's performance-implied value at EUR 17.2M-33.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.4M-47.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 24.4M-46.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 91.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €37.0M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1855 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.29
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 91 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1871
- Opponent strength
- 1456
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €24.4M – €46.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; team strength up (+99 Elo); role change LB -> RB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -49% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | RB | 26 | 1855 | 61% | 2 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 1456 | 1871 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | LB | 14 | 874 | 29% | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 1476 | 1772 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 20 | 1256 | 41% | 3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 1502 | 1787 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | RB | 14 | 573 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1537 | 1817 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | RB | 13 | 644 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 1484 | 1847 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | LB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1487 | 1898 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 10 | 769 | 1 | 1 | 1762 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 5 | 349 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Croatia | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayern Munich | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 6 | 421 | 0 | 0 | 1675 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 13 | 782 | 1 | 4 | 1523 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 316 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 8 | 346 | 0 | 0 | 1653 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayern Munich | 1 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1713 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 2 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1704 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hernández Bundesliga · 2021 | 25 | €45.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Niklas Süle Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €35.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Javi Martínez Bundesliga · 2017 | 29 | €30.0M | €27.0M | flat |
| Jérôme Boateng Bundesliga · 2018 | 30 | €45.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Daniele Rugani Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €22.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Jordi Alba Laliga · 2015 | 26 | €35.0M | €32.0M | flat |
| Daniel Carvajal Laliga · 2017 | 25 | €32.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Nélson Semedo Laliga · 2019 | 26 | €40.0M | €28.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Leverkusen | Bayern Munich | Free / loan | €28.0M |
| 20 Aug 2023 | Bayern Munich | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 1 Aug 2021 | FC Bayern II | Bayern Munich | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Bayern U19 | FC Bayern II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FC Bayern U17 | FC Bayern U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 17 Jan 2017 | Fürstenf. U17 | FC Bayern U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Fürstenf. Yth. | Fürstenf. U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | TSV 1860 Yth. | Fürstenf. Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | FC Perlach Yth. | TSV 1860 Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.