Ignace Van der Brempt

24 yrs · Right-back · Belgium
Como 1907 · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.5M – €3.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.0M – €6.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.6M – €5.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.9M – €4.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €3.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €6.1M
Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €5.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ignace Van der Brempt's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-6.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-3.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-5.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 66

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage52.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.2 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.5M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
931 (27% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
53 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1496
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.6M – €5.2M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+128 Elo); relative output down 35% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -54% to +35%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 931 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Como 1907Serie ARB2093127%010.100.13149615890.93
2024/25Como 1907Serie ARB20125837%020.140.19152214610.99
2020/21Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRB52137%100.420.08128915700.55
2019/20Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRB1110%000.000.05117915780.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupComo 1907313601—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFußballclub Red Bull Salzburg3163001488
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV266001503
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV16001575

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Bakary Koné
Ligue 1 · 2013
25€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Carlos Salcedo
Serie A · 2017
24€3.5M€10.0Mrose
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Ligue 1 · 2023
24€4.5M€7.0Mrose
Luca Pellegrini
Serie A · 2024
25€3.5M€4.5Mrose
Francesco Acerbi
Serie A · 2013
25€3.5M€3.5Mflat
Benno Schmitz
Bundesliga · 2017
23€1.8M€1.0Mfell
Sebastian Jung
Bundesliga · 2016
26€3.5M€500kfell
Kasim Adams
Bundesliga · 2019
24€7.0M€1.7Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025SalzburgComo€5.0M€4.0M
30 Jun 2025ComoSalzburgFree / loan€4.0M
30 Aug 2024SalzburgComoFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jun 2024HamburgSalzburgFree / loan€3.0M
18 Jul 2023SalzburgHamburgFree / loan€3.0M
31 Jan 2022Club BruggeSalzburg€5.0M€1.2M
1 Jul 2019Club Brugge U18Club BruggeUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Club Brugge YthClub Brugge U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017KV Mechelen YthClub Brugge YthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Rupel Boom U21KV Mechelen YthUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Beerschot YthRupel Boom U21Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Ignace Van der Brempt · MoneyballAI