
Anass Zaroury
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anass Zaroury's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-6.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-8.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (1421 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.1M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1421 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.44
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1214
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.7M – €8.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level down (-186 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -50% to -6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1421 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | LW | 24 | 1421 | 61% | 4 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.28 | 1214 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | LW | 28 | 1407 | 46% | 2 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 1452 | 1484 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Burnley FC | Premier League | LW | 6 | 149 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1574 | 1366 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 5 | 234 | 8% | 2 | 0 | 0.77 | 0.45 | 1309 | 1348 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 33 | 1687 | 55% | 5 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 1351 | 1331 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 10 | 662 | 4 | 1 | 1443 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 195 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1410 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Burnley FC | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Burnley FC | 4 | 275 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Fischer Superliga · 2020 | 26 | €4.8M | €2.5M | fell |
| Maxi Gómez Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €7.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Benjamin Verbic Superliga · 2018 | 25 | €4.0M | €4.8M | rose |
| Diego Rossi Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €9.5M | €8.5M | flat |
| Christian Kouamé Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €9.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Pione Sisto Superliga · 2021 | 26 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| İrfan Can Kahveci Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €6.5M | €7.0M | flat |
| Ola Brynhildsen Superliga · 2024 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Lens | Panathinaikos | €3.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Panathinaikos | Lens | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Lens | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 22 Aug 2024 | Burnley | Lens | €5.0M | €9.0M |
| 31 May 2024 | Hull City | Burnley | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Burnley | Hull City | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 30 Aug 2022 | R Charleroi SC | Burnley | €4.2M | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Lommel SK | R Charleroi SC | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | R Charleroi SC | Lommel SK | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Lommel SK | R Charleroi SC | €150k | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | SVZW U21 | Lommel SK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Zulte War. U17 | SVZW U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | KV Mechelen U17 | Zulte War. U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KV Mechelen Yth | KV Mechelen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.