Anass Zaroury

25 yrs · Left winger · Morocco
Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 176 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.5M – €9.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.4M – €6.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.7M – €8.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€6.7M – €2.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €9.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €6.2M
Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €8.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anass Zaroury's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-6.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-8.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (1421 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 22

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage54th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.6 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €6.1M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-31% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1421 (61% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.44
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.28
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
54 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1465
Opponent strength
1214
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.7M – €8.8M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level down (-186 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -50% to -6%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1421 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1LW24142161%430.440.28121414650.43
2024/25RC LensLigue 1LW28140746%230.320.30145214840.88
2023/24Burnley FCPremier LeagueLW61494%000.000.50157413661.14
2022/23Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueLW52348%200.770.45130913480.58
2021/22Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueLW33168755%510.320.32135113310.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeaguePanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos10662411443
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos419500—
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos381001410
2023/24Fa CupBurnley FC16700—
2022/23Fa CupBurnley FC427520—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Viktor Fischer
Superliga · 2020
26€4.8M€2.5Mfell
Maxi Gómez
Super Lig · 2023
27€7.0M€2.0Mfell
Benjamin Verbic
Superliga · 2018
25€4.0M€4.8Mrose
Diego Rossi
Super Lig · 2023
25€9.5M€8.5Mflat
Christian Kouamé
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
25€9.0M€7.5Mflat
Pione Sisto
Superliga · 2021
26€4.5M€2.0Mfell
İrfan Can Kahveci
Super Lig · 2023
28€6.5M€7.0Mflat
Ola Brynhildsen
Superliga · 2024
25€3.0M€2.5Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026LensPanathinaikos€3.0M€7.0M
30 Jun 2026PanathinaikosLensFree / loan€7.0M
3 Aug 2025LensPanathinaikosFree / loan€8.0M
22 Aug 2024BurnleyLens€5.0M€9.0M
31 May 2024Hull CityBurnleyFree / loan€9.0M
1 Feb 2024BurnleyHull CityFree / loan€9.0M
30 Aug 2022R Charleroi SCBurnley€4.2M€1.2M
30 Jun 2021Lommel SKR Charleroi SCFree / loan€750k
1 Feb 2021R Charleroi SCLommel SKFree / loan€350k
31 Jan 2021Lommel SKR Charleroi SC€150k€350k
1 Jul 2019SVZW U21Lommel SKFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Zulte War. U17SVZW U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2017KV Mechelen U17Zulte War. U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016KV Mechelen YthKV Mechelen U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.