Antonio Blanco
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antonio Blanco's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-12.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.1M-9.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.7M-15.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (3117 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €5.5M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3117 (91% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1410
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.7M – €15.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 94% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +9% (IQR -40% to +68%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | DM | 36 | 3117 | 91% | 2 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 1496 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | DM | 35 | 2739 | 80% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 1523 | 1418 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | DM | 33 | 2436 | 71% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1504 | 1431 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Cádiz CF | Laliga | DM | 3 | 159 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1504 | 1420 | 0.98 |
| 2020/21 | Real Madrid | Laliga | CM | 4 | 218 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1486 | 1788 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 3 | 122 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | 102 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 3 | 112 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Cádiz CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angeliño Bundesliga · 2023 | 26 | €12.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Roberto Soriano Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €12.5M | €7.5M | fell |
| Allan Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €11.5M | €16.0M | rose |
| Nemanja Maksimovic Laliga · 2022 | 27 | €14.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Carlos Augusto Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €15.0M | €26.0M | rose |
| Aaron Hunt Bundesliga · 2014 | 28 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Ellyes Skhiri Bundesliga · 2020 | 25 | €6.8M | €13.0M | rose |
| Juraj Kucka Serie A · 2013 | 26 | €7.0M | €6.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2023 | Real Madrid | Alavés | €4.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Alavés | Real Madrid | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 12 Jan 2023 | Real Madrid | Alavés | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Cádiz CF | Real Madrid | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Real Madrid | Cádiz CF | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | RM Castilla | Real Madrid | Unknown | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Real Madrid U19 | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Real Madrid U18 | Real Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Real Madrid U17 | Real Madrid U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.