
Chidera Ejuke
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Chidera Ejuke's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-3.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (922 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 922 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 48 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1492
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €3.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -63% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 922 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | LW | 27 | 922 | 27% | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.37 | 1492 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | LW | 25 | 957 | 28% | 2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 1539 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 21 | 1331 | 49% | 3 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.32 | 1369 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | LW | 20 | 885 | 29% | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.41 | 1544 | 1354 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | LW | 30 | 1823 | 68% | 5 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 1349 | 1363 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | LW | 25 | 1589 | 59% | 5 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 1327 | 1383 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | LW | 25 | 2062 | 88% | 9 | 4 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 1368 | 1317 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Nigeria | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 4 | 153 | 0 | 0 | 1656 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Hertha BSC | 1 | 47 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PFK CSKA Moskva | 5 | 323 | 0 | 0 | 1513 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 3 | 197 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 340 | 1 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxi López Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Roman Yaremchuk Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €3.5M | €3.5M | flat |
| Lewis Grabban Premier League · 2016 | 28 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Antonio Floro Flores Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Eldor Shomurodov Serie A · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Mohammed Abdellaoue Bundesliga · 2014 | 29 | €3.0M | €600k | fell |
| Florian Niederlechner Bundesliga · 2019 | 29 | €3.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Shon Weissman Laliga · 2023 | 27 | €4.0M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | CSKA Moscow | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Royal Antwerp | CSKA Moscow | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jul 2023 | CSKA Moscow | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Hertha BSC | CSKA Moscow | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 13 Jul 2022 | CSKA Moscow | Hertha BSC | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 28 Aug 2020 | Heerenveen | CSKA Moscow | €11.5M | €5.5M |
| 15 Jul 2019 | Vålerenga | Heerenveen | €2.0M | €400k |
| 10 Mar 2017 | Gombe United | Vålerenga | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Supreme Court | Gombe United | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ikon Allah FA | Supreme Court | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.