Bryan Limbombe
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bryan Limbombe's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (1309 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €136k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1309 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1060
- Opponent strength
- 1316
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €258k – €488k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -37% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1309 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 22 | 1309 | 43% | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 1316 | 1060 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 14 | 365 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.59 | 1366 | 1207 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 31 | 1744 | 57% | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 1336 | 1149 | 0.48 |
| 2020/21 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 4 | 40 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1271 | 1414 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 5 | 80 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 1422 | 1429 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 3 | 127 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 3 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €275k | €175k | fell |
| Nadrey Dago Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| David Sambissa Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €375k | €375k | flat |
| Connor McLennan Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 24 | €375k | €200k | fell |
| Mart Lieder Eredivisie · 2015 | 25 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| German Onugkha Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €650k | €400k | fell |
| Gboly Ariyibi Super League 1 · 2020 | 25 | €325k | €450k | rose |
| Danny Mullen Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 24 | €325k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Roda JC | Heracles Almelo | €720k | €700k |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Genk | Roda JC | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | KRC Genk U21 | Genk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | KRC Genk U17 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Zulte W. Youth | KRC Genk U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | KV Mechelen Yth | Zulte W. Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.