Jacob Ramsey
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jacob Ramsey's performance-implied value at EUR 30.6M-41.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 20.6M-44.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 21.1M-44.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.14x the positional average in the league (1445 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 93.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €33.4M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1445 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 94 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1631
- Opponent strength
- 1615
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €21.1M – €44.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-64 Elo); role change LM -> CM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -75% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1445 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Newcastle United | Premier League | CM | 28 | 1445 | 42% | 2 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 1615 | 1631 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Aston Villa | Premier League | LM | 29 | 1628 | 48% | 1 | 5 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 1546 | 1695 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Aston Villa | Premier League | LM | 16 | 851 | 25% | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.11 | 1510 | 1586 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Aston Villa | Premier League | LM | 35 | 2646 | 77% | 6 | 7 | 0.44 | 0.26 | 1559 | 1625 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CM | 34 | 2479 | 72% | 6 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 1566 | 1520 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CM | 22 | 615 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1559 | 1517 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Newcastle United | 9 | 399 | 0 | 0 | 1745 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Newcastle United | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Aston Villa | 10 | 391 | 1 | 2 | 1631 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 5 | 227 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 2 | 109 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 1 | 86 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer Premier League · 2019 | 24 | €15.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Óliver Torres Laliga · 2020 | 26 | €13.5M | €8.0M | fell |
| Dele Alli Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €64.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Ross Barkley Premier League · 2020 | 27 | €21.5M | €12.0M | fell |
| Ander Herrera Premier League · 2016 | 27 | €28.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Eric Dier Premier League · 2020 | 26 | €20.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Éver Banega Laliga · 2014 | 26 | €12.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Jack Wilshere Premier League · 2018 | 26 | €20.0M | €4.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | €45.1M | €32.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Aston Villa U23 | Aston Villa | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2020 | Doncaster | Aston Villa U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Aston Villa U23 | Doncaster | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Aston Villa U18 | Aston Villa U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | A. Villa Yth. | Aston Villa U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.