Altin Zeqiri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Altin Zeqiri's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (689 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 6.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €320k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 689 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1229
- Opponent strength
- 1251
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €534k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; relative output down 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -75% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 689 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | LW | 23 | 689 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 1251 | 1229 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | LW | 27 | 1294 | 40% | 3 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 1284 | 1228 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | LW | 35 | 2288 | 67% | 5 | 5 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 1311 | 1219 | 0.45 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramazan Civelek Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €1.1M | €1.0M | flat |
| Emre Mor Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Jonah Ayunga Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Stephen Humphrys Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Giuseppe Rossini Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €500k | €125k | fell |
| Selim Ilgaz Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €2.0M | €250k | fell |
| Ahmet Engin Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €1.1M | €400k | fell |
| Ovidy Karuru Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €350k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2023 | FC Lahti | C. Rizespor | Unknown | €200k |
| 8 Aug 2019 | FC Espoo | FC Lahti | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | FC Espoo U19 | FC Espoo | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Honka Youth | FC Espoo U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.