
Yusuf Sarı
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yusuf Sarı's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1469 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.6M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1469 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1357
- Opponent strength
- 1264
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €3.6M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+184 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -28%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1469 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RW | 21 | 1469 | 48% | 1 | 7 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 1264 | 1357 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RW | 17 | 1092 | 34% | 4 | 4 | 0.66 | 0.53 | 1292 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2024/25 | Adana Demirspor | Super Lig | RW | 13 | 939 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.33 | 1298 | 1040 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Adana Demirspor | Super Lig | RW | 24 | 1792 | 52% | 3 | 8 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 1312 | 1250 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Adana Demirspor | Super Lig | RW | 31 | 1577 | 49% | 5 | 6 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 1289 | 1410 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | RW | 13 | 718 | 21% | 3 | 2 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 1222 | 1179 | 0.42 |
| 2021/22 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RW | 15 | 378 | 11% | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 1255 | 1433 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RW | 26 | 700 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 1281 | 1363 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RW | 14 | 694 | 23% | 3 | 2 | 0.65 | 0.48 | 1327 | 1410 | 0.45 |
| 2017/18 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | RW | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1403 | 1601 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 5 | 191 | 0 | 1 | 1319 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Adana Demirspor | 6 | 560 | 2 | 2 | 1438 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 3 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1558 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 2 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 1508 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1408 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Athanasiadis Super League 1 · 2016 | 28 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Olarenwaju Kayode Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €3.7M | €1.3M | fell |
| Théo Bongonda Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Mame Thiam Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €2.5M | €2.4M | flat |
| Jesús Medina Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| İrfan Can Kahveci Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €8.5M | €10.0M | flat |
| Georges-Kevin N'Koudou Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.3M | fell |
| Andraz Sporar Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €5.0M | €1.7M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2025 | Adana Demirspor | Basaksehir | €1.0M | €3.8M |
| 8 Jul 2022 | C. Rizespor | Adana Demirspor | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 12 Jan 2022 | Trabzonspor | C. Rizespor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Marseille | Trabzonspor | €250k | €400k |
| 10 Jan 2019 | Clermont Foot | Marseille | Free / loan | €400k |
| 29 Aug 2018 | Marseille | Clermont Foot | Free / loan | €500k |
| 22 Nov 2017 | Marseille B | Marseille | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.