Yusuf Sarı

27 yrs · Right winger · Türkiye
Basaksehir FK · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 168 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.6M – €4.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€688k – €2.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.5M – €3.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.7M – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€688k – €2.8M
Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yusuf Sarı's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1469 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 53

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage38.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.6M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-33% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1469 (48% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.49
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.42
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1357
Opponent strength
1264
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.5M – €3.6M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+184 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -28%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1469 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Basaksehir FKSuper LigRW21146948%170.490.42126413570.40
2024/25Basaksehir FKSuper LigRW17109234%440.660.53129212860.39
2024/25Adana DemirsporSuper LigRW1393929%010.100.33129810400.39
2023/24Adana DemirsporSuper LigRW24179252%380.550.49131212500.45
2022/23Adana DemirsporSuper LigRW31157749%560.630.52128914100.50
2021/22Caykur RizesporSuper LigRW1371821%320.630.56122211790.42
2021/22TrabzonsporSuper LigRW1537811%100.240.27125514330.42
2020/21TrabzonsporSuper LigRW2670019%110.260.28128113630.37
2019/20TrabzonsporSuper LigRW1469423%320.650.48132714100.45
2017/18Olympique MarseilleLigue 1RW110%000.000.30140316010.85

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingBasaksehir FK5191011319
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingAdana Demirspor6560221438
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingTrabzonspor372001558
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueTrabzonspor293001508
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor341001408

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Stefanos Athanasiadis
Super League 1 · 2016
28€4.0M€1.5Mfell
Olarenwaju Kayode
Super Lig · 2021
28€3.7M€1.3Mfell
Théo Bongonda
Premier Liga · 2024
29€5.0M€3.0Mfell
Mame Thiam
Super Lig · 2021
29€2.5M€2.4Mflat
Jesús Medina
Premier Liga · 2024
27€5.0M€2.0Mfell
İrfan Can Kahveci
Super Lig · 2022
27€8.5M€10.0Mflat
Georges-Kevin N'Koudou
Super Lig · 2021
26€5.0M€3.3Mfell
Andraz Sporar
Super League 1 · 2023
29€5.0M€1.7Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
13 Jan 2025Adana DemirsporBasaksehir€1.0M€3.8M
8 Jul 2022C. RizesporAdana DemirsporFree / loan€1.5M
12 Jan 2022TrabzonsporC. RizesporFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2019MarseilleTrabzonspor€250k€400k
10 Jan 2019Clermont FootMarseilleFree / loan€400k
29 Aug 2018MarseilleClermont FootFree / loan€500k
22 Nov 2017Marseille BMarseilleUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.