
Aihen Muñoz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Aihen Muñoz's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 55.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €942k vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 843 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1462
- Opponent strength
- 1523
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €926k – €2.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 87% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -64% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 843 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 21 | 843 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1523 | 1462 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 21 | 1098 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1551 | 1464 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 21 | 1110 | 32% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1473 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 23 | 1756 | 51% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1526 | 1604 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 20 | 1343 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1516 | 1559 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 16 | 1210 | 35% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1542 | 1573 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 15 | 979 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1504 | 1567 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 6 | 510 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1573 | 1536 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | LB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1519 | 1873 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | LB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1550 | 1559 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | LB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1518 | 1495 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Girona FC | Laliga | LB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1556 | 1428 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Real Madrid | Laliga | LB | 1 | 84 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1508 | 1676 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 6 | 371 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1519 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 6 | 437 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 6 | 474 | 0 | 1 | 1698 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 169 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 3 | 200 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1624 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 623 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 3 | 243 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 2 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1722 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 5 | 349 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Tenaglia Laliga · 2024 | 28 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Steven Whittaker Premier League · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Ronnie Stam Premier League · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Nacho Vidal Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Pablo Armero Serie A · 2015 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Juan Carlos Paredes Premier League · 2016 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Phil Bardsley Premier League · 2013 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Silvan Hefti Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2019 | Real Sociedad B | Real Sociedad | Unknown | €7.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Real Sociedad C | Real Sociedad B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | R. Sociedad U19 | Real Sociedad C | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.