Aihen Muñoz

29 yrs · Left-back · Spain
Real Sociedad · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 175 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€707k – €2.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.4M – €3.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€926k – €2.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€604k – €2.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€707k – €2.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€926k – €2.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Aihen Muñoz's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average55.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €942k vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-38% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
843 (25% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.11
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
55 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1462
Opponent strength
1523
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€926k – €2.6M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 87% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -64% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 843 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Real SociedadLaligaLB2184325%100.110.15152314620.95
2024/25Real SociedadLaligaLB21109832%000.000.08155114640.95
2023/24Real SociedadLaligaLB21111032%010.080.08147315881.00
2022/23Real SociedadLaligaLB23175651%010.050.07152616040.98
2021/22Real SociedadLaligaLB20134339%000.000.05151615591.05
2020/21Real SociedadLaligaLB16121035%010.070.10154215731.10
2019/20Real SociedadLaligaLB1597929%000.000.06150415671.16
2018/19Real SociedadLaligaLB651015%000.000.10157315361.14
2018/19FC BarcelonaLaligaLB1903%000.000.06151918731.14
2018/19RCD Espanyol BarcelonaLaligaLB1903%000.000.12155015591.14
2018/19Deportivo AlavésLaligaLB1903%000.000.13151814951.14
2018/19Girona FCLaligaLB1903%000.000.15155614281.14
2018/19Real MadridLaligaLB1842%000.000.08150816761.14

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad637100—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad8630001519
2024/25Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad643700—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueReal Sociedad6474011698
2023/24Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad216900—
2022/23Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad320000—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad190001624
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad8623001518
2021/22Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad324311—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad2102001722
2020/21Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad19000—
2019/20Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad534900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Nahuel Tenaglia
Laliga · 2024
28€2.0M€3.0Mrose
Steven Whittaker
Premier League · 2013
29€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Ronnie Stam
Premier League · 2013
29€2.0M€500kfell
Nacho Vidal
Laliga · 2024
29€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Pablo Armero
Serie A · 2015
29€4.0M€1.5Mfell
Juan Carlos Paredes
Premier League · 2016
29€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Phil Bardsley
Premier League · 2013
28€4.0M€2.0Mfell
Silvan Hefti
Ligue 1 · 2024
27€2.5M€800kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2019Real Sociedad BReal SociedadUnknown€7.5M
1 Jul 2017Real Sociedad CReal Sociedad BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016R. Sociedad U19Real Sociedad CUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.