José Copete
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates José Copete's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-10.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.5M-6.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.3M-7.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 68.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €4.3M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1761 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1497
- Opponent strength
- 1520
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.3M – €7.0M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+81 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -56% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1761 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Valencia CF | Laliga | CB | 21 | 1761 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1520 | 1496 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 25 | 1523 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1531 | 1415 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 19 | 1336 | 39% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1491 | 1436 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2215 | 65% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1499 | 1430 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 3 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1819 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 8 | 711 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 3 | 255 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Venuti Serie A · 2022 | 27 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Marc Wilson Premier League · 2013 | 26 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Jeremy Toljan Serie A · 2022 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Ezequiel Muñoz Serie A · 2016 | 26 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Marlon Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €6.5M | €6.0M | flat |
| Bruno Ecuele Manga Ligue 1 · 2013 | 25 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Carlos Salcedo Bundesliga · 2018 | 25 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Kevin Mbabu Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €9.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2025 | RCD Mallorca | Valencia | €3.6M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Ponferradina | RCD Mallorca | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Villarreal CF B | Ponferradina | Free / loan | €250k |
| 27 Jul 2020 | Penya Deportiva | Villarreal CF B | Free / loan | €200k |
| 23 Jul 2019 | Villarreal CF B | Penya Deportiva | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Villarreal C | Villarreal CF B | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Córdoba CF B | FC Villarreal C | Free / loan | €50k |
| 4 Jan 2018 | Écija Balompié | Córdoba CF B | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Écija U19 | Écija Balompié | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.