Marlon

The model rates Marlon's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

835 (31% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.22

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.08

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

44 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1420

Opponent strength

1148

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€589k – €1.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -56% to -22%).

• ▲Small sample: 835 league minutes last season.
• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

11 (DEF)

Relative output kept

108%–176%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

82%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.