Artur Dumanyuk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Artur Dumanyuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.53x the positional average in the league (1858 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 4.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €179k vs market €350k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1858 (69% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 4 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1042
- Opponent strength
- 1195
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €213k – €356k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -50% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Kudrivka | Premier Liga | DM | 26 | 1858 | 69% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1195 | 1042 | 0.25 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Kudrivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatjon Andoni Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Danny Bejarano Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Israel Coll Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €300k | €800k | rose |
| Orest Kuzyk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Theofanis Tzandaris Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €300k | €225k | fell |
| Andriy Batsula Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €125k | fell |
| Gennadiy Pasich Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Ruslan Chernenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €200k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2024 | UCSA | FC Kudrivka | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 25 Jul 2023 | KSZO Ostrowiec | UCSA | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Star St. | KSZO Ostrowiec | Free / loan | €175k |
| 25 Mar 2022 | Agrobiznes | Star St. | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Mar 2016 | Unknown | Agrobiznes | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2014 | DVUFK | Unknown | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.