Dean James
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dean James's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-1.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 69
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 22.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €967k vs market €1.7M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1622 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1319
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €763k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 44% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -35% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1622 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | LB | 26 | 1622 | 53% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 1319 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | LB | 25 | 1706 | 56% | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 1316 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | LB | 5 | 94 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1233 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | LM | 7 | 431 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 1529 | 1213 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 708 | 0 | 2 | 1490 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 303 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pereira Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Soner Gönül Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Marijan Cabraja Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Manolis Bertos Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Jukka Raitala Eredivisie · 2013 | 25 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Yassine Meriah Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Hayden Coulson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Derrick Luckassen Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2023 | FC Volendam | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Volendam U21 | FC Volendam | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Volendam U19 | Volendam U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Volendam U17 | Volendam U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Volendam Youth | Volendam U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ajax Youth | Volendam Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.