Franco Tongya
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Franco Tongya's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-4.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.92x the positional average in the league (2281 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 11.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €867k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2281 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 12 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1161
- Opponent strength
- 1281
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €4.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -2% (IQR -24% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Gençlerbirliği Spor Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 28 | 2281 | 75% | 5 | 5 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 1281 | 1160 | 0.40 |
| 2023/24 | Odense Boldklub | Superliga | RW | 6 | 303 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1360 | 1220 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Odense Boldklub | Superliga | RW | 15 | 932 | 47% | 2 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 1294 | 1240 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Odense Boldklub | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Clarkson Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Dylan Levitt Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 23 | €800k | €650k | flat |
| Chandrel Massanga Super Lig · 2024 | 25 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
| Iver Fossum Superliga · 2021 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Bernard Mensah Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €2.4M | €2.3M | flat |
| Ylber Ramadani Superliga · 2021 | 25 | €450k | €800k | rose |
| Justin Lonwijk Superliga · 2022 | 23 | €700k | €1.0M | rose |
| Sergiy Myakushko Premier Liga · 2015 | 22 | €800k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sept 2025 | Salernitana | Genclerbirligi | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 13 Jul 2024 | Odense BK | Salernitana | €700k | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | AEK Larnaca | Odense BK | Free / loan | €900k |
| 2 Sept 2023 | Odense BK | AEK Larnaca | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Marseille B | Odense BK | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Juventus U23 | Marseille B | €8.0M | Data unavailable |
| 27 Sept 2020 | Juventus U19 | Juventus U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Juventus U17 | Juventus U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Juventus Youth | Juventus U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2009 | Unknown | Juventus Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.