Sami Lahssaini
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sami Lahssaini's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (2362 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 31.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €320k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2362 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1297
- Opponent strength
- 1371
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €362k – €831k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +36% (IQR -21% to +78%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 27 | 2362 | 87% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1371 | 1296 | 0.65 |
| 2022/23 | RFC Seraing | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 22 | 1509 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1310 | 1128 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | RFC Seraing | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 15 | 704 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1354 | 1144 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 408 | 0 | 0 | 1279 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samu Liga Portugal · 2023 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.8M | rose |
| Mohamed El Makrini Eredivisie · 2014 | 27 | €450k | €800k | rose |
| Panagiotis Korbos Super League 1 · 2013 | 28 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Jordan Botaka Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 27 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Alexander Merkel Eredivisie · 2020 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Mehdi Bourabia Super Lig · 2018 | 27 | €750k | €2.8M | rose |
| Rogério Martins Super League 1 · 2013 | 29 | €650k | €400k | fell |
| Vítor Gomes Liga Portugal · 2016 | 29 | €650k | €800k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | FC Metz | La Louvière | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | La Louvière | FC Metz | Free / loan | €400k |
| 25 Jan 2024 | FC Metz | La Louvière | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | €450k |
| 21 Jul 2022 | FC Metz | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Metz | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 4 Jan 2019 | FC Metz | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Jan 2019 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | RFC Seraing U21 | RFC Seraing | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | RFC Seraing U19 | RFC Seraing U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | RFC Seraing U17 | RFC Seraing U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.