Bryan Gil

25 yrs · Left winger (also RW) · Spain
Girona FC · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 175 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€8.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.2M – €10.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.9M – €9.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.1M – €9.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.6M – €6.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.2M – €10.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.9M – €9.7M
Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €9.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bryan Gil's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-9.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.2M-10.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.1M-9.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.79x the positional average in the league (1587 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 14

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average55.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €6.8M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-39% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €30.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1587 (46% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
55 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1413
Opponent strength
1489
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.1M – €9.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -67% to +91%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1587 league minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Girona FCLaligaLW29158746%030.170.32148914130.95
2024/25Girona FCLaligaLW25173451%330.310.33149214030.95
2023/24Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLW112016%000.000.40168415881.14
2022/23Sevilla FCLaligaLW1792227%220.390.42150015830.98
2022/23Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLW41484%010.610.34151516061.23
2021/22Valencia CFLaligaLW1274022%010.120.28149914871.05
2021/22Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLW9873%000.000.43164616591.17
2020/21SD EibarLaligaLW28227166%430.280.39154514151.10
2020/21Sevilla FCLaligaLW1120%000.000.23137916801.10
2019/20CD LeganésLaligaLW1255316%100.160.49156614821.16
2019/20Sevilla FCLaligaRW2632%000.000.28146116741.16
2018/19Sevilla FCLaligaLW111575%111.150.53151315771.14

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyGirona FC15400—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueGirona FC6453001635
2024/25Copa Del ReyGirona FC14510—
2023/24Fa CupTottenham Hotspur13200—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueSevilla FC7439011611
2022/23Fa CupTottenham Hotspur29500—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur437001622
2021/22Copa Del ReyValencia CF428000—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingTottenham Hotspur2163011334
2021/22Fa CupTottenham Hotspur16900—
2020/21Copa Del ReySD Eibar12001—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueSevilla FC4164111420
2019/20Copa Del ReySevilla FC13000—
2018/19Copa Del ReySevilla FC22500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Benito Raman
Bundesliga · 2020
26€8.0M€3.0Mfell
Davie Selke
Bundesliga · 2020
25€8.0M€1.8Mfell
Robin Quaison
Bundesliga · 2018
25€3.5M€10.5Mrose
Jorge de Frutos
Laliga · 2024
27€4.0M€12.0Mrose
Yasin Öztekin
Super Lig · 2013
26€3.5M€5.8Mrose
Fabio Borini
Premier League · 2017
26€5.0M€7.0Mrose
Adel Taarabt
Serie A · 2014
25€8.0M€1.5Mfell
Ibrahima Balde
Premier Liga · 2014
25€5.5M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Sept 2025TottenhamGirona€6.0M€15.0M
30 Jun 2025GironaTottenhamFree / loan€15.0M
29 Jul 2024TottenhamGironaFree / loan€14.0M
30 Jun 2023Sevilla FCTottenhamFree / loan€15.0M
30 Jan 2023TottenhamSevilla FCFree / loan€12.0M
30 Jun 2022ValenciaTottenhamFree / loan€18.0M
31 Jan 2022TottenhamValenciaFree / loan€28.0M
26 Jul 2021Sevilla FCTottenham€25.0M€30.0M
30 Jun 2021SD EibarSevilla FCFree / loan€30.0M
5 Oct 2020Sevilla FCSD EibarFree / loan€9.0M
20 Jul 2020CD LeganésSevilla FCFree / loan€9.0M
31 Jan 2020Sevilla FCCD LeganésFree / loan€10.0M
1 Jan 2019Sevilla Atl.Sevilla FCUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2018Sevilla FC U19Sevilla Atl.UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Sevilla FC U16Sevilla FC U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Altair U16Sevilla FC U16UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Sevilla FC Yth.Altair U16UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Bryan Gil · MoneyballAI