Jorge de Frutos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorge de Frutos's performance-implied value at EUR 5.0M-18.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-13.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.8M-10.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (2485 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 8
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 82.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €10.2M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2485 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1518
- Opponent strength
- 1480
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.8M – €10.2M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+78 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -53% to -37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | RW | 36 | 2485 | 73% | 10 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 1480 | 1518 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | RW | 36 | 2513 | 73% | 6 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.44 | 1506 | 1440 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | RW | 35 | 1534 | 45% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 1495 | 1401 | 1.00 |
| 2021/22 | Levante UD | Laliga | RW | 25 | 1766 | 52% | 4 | 7 | 0.56 | 0.76 | 1533 | 1444 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Levante UD | Laliga | RW | 37 | 2187 | 64% | 4 | 10 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 1555 | 1461 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | RW | 3 | 56 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1562 | 1465 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 116 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1286 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 151 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 317 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 4 | 300 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Valladolid CF | 2 | 108 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 88 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Éder Serie A · 2016 | 30 | €12.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Vincenzo Grifo Bundesliga · 2024 | 31 | €9.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Andy Delort Ligue 1 · 2022 | 31 | €13.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Antonio Candreva Serie A · 2016 | 29 | €23.0M | €14.0M | fell |
| Dimitri Payet Premier League · 2017 | 30 | €26.0M | €12.5M | fell |
| Franck Honorat Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €12.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Max Kruse Bundesliga · 2018 | 30 | €12.0M | €8.5M | fell |
| Leonardo Ulloa Premier League · 2015 | 29 | €8.5M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2023 | Levante | Rayo Vallecano | €8.0M | €8.0M |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Real Madrid | Levante | €6.0M | €2.0M |
| 21 Jul 2020 | Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 17 Jan 2020 | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 16 Jan 2020 | Real Valladolid | Real Madrid | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Real Madrid | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | RM Castilla | Real Madrid | Unknown | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | R. Majadahonda | RM Castilla | €100k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Majad. U19 | R. Majadahonda | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.