Kwasi Sibo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kwasi Sibo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.57x the positional average in the league (1686 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 64
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €880k vs market €1.4M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1686 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1294
- Opponent strength
- 1514
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €523k – €1.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -30% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1686 league minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Oviedo | Laliga | CM | 26 | 1686 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1514 | 1294 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ghana | 3 | 187 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Oviedo | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Urartu Yerevan | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1349 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Gelli Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Ondrej Petrak Bundesliga · 2019 | 27 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Iddrisu Baba Laliga · 2024 | 28 | €2.2M | €2.2M | flat |
| Simone Missiroli Serie A · 2014 | 28 | €2.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Alessandro Deiola Serie A · 2024 | 29 | €1.9M | €1.5M | fell |
| Gerónimo Poblete Ligue 1 · 2018 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Florian Jungwirth Bundesliga · 2017 | 28 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Martin Hongla Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | SD Amorebieta | Real Oviedo | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Sept 2022 | Betis Deportivo | SD Amorebieta | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Watford | Betis Deportivo | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | UD Ibiza | Watford | Free / loan | €200k |
| 12 Aug 2020 | Watford | UD Ibiza | Free / loan | €200k |
| 27 Jul 2020 | UD Ibiza | Watford | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Aug 2019 | Watford | UD Ibiza | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | KF Skënderbeu | Watford | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jan 2019 | Watford | KF Skënderbeu | Free / loan | €200k |
| 9 Aug 2018 | Banants | Watford | Free / loan | €200k |
| 12 Sept 2017 | Cheetah FC | Banants | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.