Søren Tengstedt
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Søren Tengstedt's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.24x the positional average in the league (690 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 7.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €251k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 690 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.49
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1328
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €385k – €991k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -41% to +15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 690 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RW | 13 | 690 | 23% | 4 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 1328 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | AM | 12 | 418 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1256 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RW | 17 | 900 | 45% | 4 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 1257 | 1238 | 0.48 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RW | 14 | 395 | 13% | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 1345 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | ST | 19 | 673 | 34% | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 1273 | 1266 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | ST | 11 | 132 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 1307 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | ST | 2 | 11 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1208 | 1303 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | ST | 5 | 54 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 1243 | 1335 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Aalborg BK | Superliga | ST | 6 | 100 | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0.90 | 0.54 | 1274 | 1284 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 137 | 1 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 112 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 6 | 287 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1364 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 116 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aarhus GF | 1 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1385 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aarhus GF | 2 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 1304 |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 3 | 87 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ion Nicolaescu Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Fabián Muñoz Super League 1 · 2016 | 25 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Yuriy Yakovenko Superliga · 2019 | 26 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Andriy Boryachuk Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Georgios Giakoumakis Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €400k | €2.5M | rose |
| Ahmed Yasin Superliga · 2016 | 25 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Oleksiy Khoblenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Makana Baku Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €450k | €800k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2024 | Silkeborg IF | Go Ahead Eagles | €340k | €900k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Aarhus GF | Silkeborg IF | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Aalborg BK | Aarhus GF | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Aalborg BK U19 | Aalborg BK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Aalborg BK Yth. | Aalborg BK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2013 | Aalborg Freja IK | Aalborg BK Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Nibe Boldklub | Aalborg Freja IK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.