Georgios Giakoumakis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Georgios Giakoumakis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (1294 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 2
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €3.4M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -70% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1294 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.56
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.38
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1249
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €3.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -61% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1294 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | ST | 19 | 1294 | 55% | 7 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.38 | 1249 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 19 | 686 | 23% | 6 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.41 | 1312 | 1588 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 16 | 861 | 29% | 9 | 1 | 1.05 | 0.58 | 1326 | 1575 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | ST | 30 | 2591 | 85% | 26 | 1 | 0.94 | 1.03 | 1377 | 1138 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | ST | 13 | 429 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1278 | 1451 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | ST | 10 | 601 | 22% | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.75 | 1290 | 1174 | 0.43 |
| 2018/19 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | ST | 6 | 108 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 1307 | 1442 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | ST | 11 | 301 | 11% | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 1214 | 1517 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | ST | 26 | 2247 | 83% | 11 | 3 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 1295 | 1267 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | ST | 10 | 706 | 26% | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1318 | 1284 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | ST | 9 | 373 | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.56 | 1352 | 1271 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | ST | 5 | 93 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.75 | 1353 | 1265 | 0.52 |
| 2012/13 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | ST | 9 | 160 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1359 | 1292 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 8 | 574 | 4 | 1 | 1501 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 138 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1333 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Celtic FC | 6 | 244 | 1 | 0 | 1702 |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 3 | 249 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 3 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1474 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | VVV-Venlo | 3 | 284 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1480 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 180 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 6 | 259 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1539 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1567 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | AO Platanias | 4 | 267 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | AO Platanias | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Kypello Elladas | AO Platanias | 3 | 164 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djaniny Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Cyriel Dessers Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Serdar Gürler Super Lig · 2023 | 32 | €2.3M | €150k | fell |
| Abdoulay Diaby Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| James Rodríguez Super League 1 · 2023 | 32 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Viktor Claesson Premier Liga · 2022 | 30 | €7.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Ayoub El Kaabi Super League 1 · 2024 | 31 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Djalma Super League 1 · 2018 | 31 | €2.0M | €650k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | PAOK | CD Cruz Azul | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 13 Aug 2025 | CD Cruz Azul | PAOK | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Atlanta | CD Cruz Azul | €9.3M | €8.0M |
| 8 Feb 2023 | Celtic | Atlanta | €4.0M | €5.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | VVV-Venlo | Celtic | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 11 Aug 2020 | AEK Athens | VVV-Venlo | €450k | €325k |
| 20 Jul 2020 | Górnik Zabrze | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €325k |
| 2 Mar 2020 | AEK Athens | Górnik Zabrze | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | OFI Crete | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €400k |
| 24 Jan 2019 | AEK Athens | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Platanias | AEK Athens | €300k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Episkopi | Platanias | Free / loan | €150k |
| 7 Jan 2014 | Platanias | Episkopi | Free / loan | €150k |
| 9 Jul 2012 | Atsalenio | Platanias | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.