Jonathan Fischer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jonathan Fischer's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-3.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 52.2th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.5M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2353 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1484
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €890k – €3.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -66% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | GK | 27 | 2353 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1484 | 1225 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Bernardoni Ligue 1 · 2023 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.2M | flat |
| Gökhan Değirmenci Super Lig · 2015 | 26 | €1.6M | €500k | fell |
| Jesse Joronen Serie A · 2020 | 27 | €4.0M | €1.4M | fell |
| Mika Liga Portugal · 2015 | 24 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Alfred Gomis Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Ouparine Djoco Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €1.8M | €500k | fell |
| Leopold Zingerle Bundesliga · 2020 | 26 | €1.2M | €500k | fell |
| Dani Figueira Liga Portugal · 2023 | 25 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | Fredrikstad FK | FC Metz | €3.0M | €3.5M |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Hobro IK | Fredrikstad FK | €700k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Akademisk BK | Hobro IK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | AB U19 | Akademisk BK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Bröndby IF U17 | AB U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | AB U19 | Bröndby IF U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | AB Youth | AB U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.