Jacob Trenskow
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jacob Trenskow's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-2.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.6M-9.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.8M-12.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.38x the positional average in the league (2680 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 43
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 31.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €6.3M vs market €7.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2680 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.57
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1284
- Opponent strength
- 1300
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.8M – €12.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 30 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -57% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 33 | 2680 | 88% | 12 | 5 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 1300 | 1284 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 25 | 1748 | 57% | 6 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.54 | 1292 | 1252 | 0.50 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 306 | 3 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | AC Horsens | 2 | 45 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa Mujica Liga Portugal · 2024 | 26 | €8.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Maksim Glushenkov Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €4.0M | €14.0M | rose |
| Matías Vargas Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Björn Johnsen Eredivisie · 2018 | 27 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Halil Akbunar Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €4.8M | €2.2M | fell |
| Nikolay Komlichenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Rey Manaj Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Haji Wright Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €6.0M | €8.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | Kalmar FF | Heerenveen | €1.5M | €1.8M |
| 7 Jul 2023 | HB Köge | Kalmar FF | Free / loan | €250k |
| 25 Jan 2022 | NSÍ Runavík | HB Köge | Unknown | €50k |
| 15 Feb 2021 | AC Horsens | NSÍ Runavík | Free / loan | €50k |
| 18 Sept 2020 | Aarhus GF U19 | AC Horsens | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Aarhus GF Youth | Aarhus GF U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.