Jeppe Erenbjerg
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jeppe Erenbjerg's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-4.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-5.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.63x the positional average in the league (2416 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 64
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 36.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.9M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2416 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.48
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.66
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 37 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1228
- Opponent strength
- 1378
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €5.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +15% (IQR -20% to +33%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 30 | 2416 | 89% | 10 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.66 | 1378 | 1228 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Zulte Waregem | 5 | 360 | 3 | 2 | 1290 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gauld Liga Portugal · 2021 | 26 | €5.0M | €6.5M | rose |
| Ryota Morioka Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 27 | €5.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| André Franco Liga Portugal · 2022 | 24 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Emre Kılınç Super Lig · 2019 | 25 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Sofiane Hanni Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 26 | €4.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Stef Peeters Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Mateusz Klich Eredivisie · 2017 | 27 | €2.3M | €2.5M | flat |
| Carel Eiting Eredivisie · 2023 | 25 | €2.5M | €1.6M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Zulte Waregem | Genk | €5.5M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | B.93 | Zulte Waregem | €300k | €250k |
| 3 Nov 2018 | B.93 U19 | B.93 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | B.93 Youth | B.93 U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.