Pedro Porro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pedro Porro's performance-implied value at EUR 20.5M-35.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.8M-37.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 17.8M-31.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 95.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €29.3M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2798 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 95 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1564
- Opponent strength
- 1573
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €17.8M – €31.3M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 48% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -36% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 34 | 2798 | 82% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1573 | 1564 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 33 | 2609 | 76% | 2 | 6 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 1570 | 1564 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 35 | 3093 | 90% | 3 | 7 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 1583 | 1588 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RM | 15 | 1136 | 33% | 3 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.29 | 1531 | 1606 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | RM | 14 | 1076 | 35% | 2 | 6 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1393 | 1669 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | RM | 23 | 1644 | 54% | 4 | 4 | 0.44 | 0.26 | 1357 | 1692 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | RM | 30 | 2511 | 82% | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 1331 | 1617 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | RB | 13 | 734 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1576 | 1465 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Girona FC | Laliga | RM | 32 | 2212 | 65% | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 1558 | 1428 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 772 | 1 | 3 | 1604 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Spain | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Super Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1830 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 13 | 1098 | 2 | 3 | 1548 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Sporting CP | 5 | 391 | 0 | 1 | 1637 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 82 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1627 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Sporting CP | 7 | 530 | 1 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Sporting CP | 2 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Valladolid CF | 2 | 192 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joachim Andersen Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €30.0M | €27.0M | flat |
| Michael Keane Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €30.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Adam Webster Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €18.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Rico Henry Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €28.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Iñigo Martínez Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €25.5M | €25.0M | flat |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €28.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Victor Lindelöf Premier League · 2022 | 28 | €22.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Ben Godfrey Premier League · 2021 | 23 | €25.0M | €13.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Sporting | Tottenham | €40.0M | €40.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Tottenham | Sporting | Free / loan | €40.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Sporting | Tottenham | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Man City | Sporting | €8.8M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Sporting | Man City | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 15 Aug 2020 | Man City | Sporting | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 20 Jul 2020 | Real Valladolid | Man City | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 12 Aug 2019 | Man City | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 8 Aug 2019 | Girona | Man City | €12.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Aug 2018 | CF Peralada | Girona | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Dec 2017 | Girona U19 | CF Peralada | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Rayo U19 | Girona U19 | €100k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.