Vitaliy Mykolenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vitaliy Mykolenko's performance-implied value at EUR 22.0M-37.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.7M-27.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.7M-22.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 26
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 95.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €21.5M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2961 (87% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 95 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1556
- Opponent strength
- 1605
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €13.7M – €22.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -31% to -4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Everton FC | Premier League | LB | 33 | 2961 | 87% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 1605 | 1556 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Everton FC | Premier League | LB | 35 | 3084 | 90% | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1564 | 1567 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Everton FC | Premier League | LB | 28 | 2471 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 1606 | 1514 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Everton FC | Premier League | LB | 34 | 2655 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1577 | 1475 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 15 | 1278 | 79% | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 1276 | 1532 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | Everton FC | Premier League | LB | 13 | 1056 | 31% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 1572 | 1474 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 22 | 1936 | 83% | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 1288 | 1563 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 18 | 1512 | 76% | 2 | 6 | 0.48 | 0.27 | 1328 | 1497 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 15 | 1308 | 66% | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 1319 | 1528 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 3 | 262 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1295 | 1547 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 1 | 104 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1776 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 3 | 253 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 354 | 0 | 0 | 1622 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 353 | 0 | 1 | 1641 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1499 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 216 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 540 | 1 | 0 | 1468 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 362 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1570 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 8 | 720 | 1 | 2 | 1532 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 208 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakonam Djené Laliga · 2019 | 27 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Joachim Andersen Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €30.0M | €27.0M | flat |
| Conor Coady Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €25.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Ezri Konsa Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €35.0M | €40.0M | flat |
| Jamaal Lascelles Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €15.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Antonee Robinson Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €15.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| James Tarkowski Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Philipp Lienhart Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €20.0M | €12.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Everton | €23.5M | €17.0M |
| 14 Oct 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.