Konstantinos Stamoulis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Konstantinos Stamoulis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 7.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €259k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2589 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1087
- Opponent strength
- 1176
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €402k – €1.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -36% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | RB | 29 | 2589 | 96% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 1176 | 1087 | 0.25 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | RB | 1 | 15 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1561 | 1167 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Lamia 1964 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Myzyuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Ryan Leak Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Malte Kiilerich Superliga · 2021 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Abdul Rahman Weiss Super League 1 · 2021 | 23 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Jordan Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €800k | €1.0M | rose |
| Lewis Mayo Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Luke Robinson Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €175k | €175k | flat |
| Mykhaylo Shershen Premier Liga · 2022 | 27 | €500k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Anorthosis | Veres Rivne | Free / loan | €325k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Othellos Athien | Anorthosis | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | AEK Athens B | Othellos Athien | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | AEK Athens | AEK Athens B | Unknown | €50k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | PAS Lamia | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Oct 2020 | AEK Athens | PAS Lamia | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AEK Athens U19 | AEK Athens | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.