
Jordan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €631k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2477 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1192
- Opponent strength
- 1170
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €469k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 43% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -31% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CB | 29 | 2477 | 92% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 1170 | 1192 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CB | 29 | 2610 | 97% | 4 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1200 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CB | 26 | 2185 | 81% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1239 | 1235 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 126 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergiy Chobotenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Ilya Putrya Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Praxitelis Vouros Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Frankie Kent Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €1.2M | €400k | fell |
| Mykyta Bezuglyi Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Dimitrios Goutas Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €700k | €2.7M | rose |
| Franco Ferrari Super League 1 · 2021 | 29 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Nicky Devlin Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 30 | €700k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Vila Nova FC | Zorya Lugansk | €400k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Zorya Lugansk | Vila Nova FC | Free / loan | €800k |
| 26 Jul 2023 | Vila Nova FC | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Cianorte | Vila Nova FC | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Nov 2022 | Vila Nova FC | Cianorte | Free / loan | €350k |
| 15 Aug 2022 | Cianorte | Vila Nova FC | Free / loan | €350k |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Tombense | Cianorte | Free / loan | €350k |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Cianorte | Tombense | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Chapecoense | Cianorte | Free / loan | €350k |
| 13 Aug 2021 | Cianorte | Chapecoense | Free / loan | €50k |
| 10 Aug 2021 | Ceará SC | Cianorte | Free / loan | €50k |
| 24 Feb 2021 | Cianorte | Ceará SC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 6 Feb 2021 | Botafogo-SP | Cianorte | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 14 Jan 2020 | Cianorte | Botafogo-SP | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Dec 2019 | Corinthians | Cianorte | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 4 Jul 2018 | Cianorte | Corinthians B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 22 Feb 2018 | Ferroviária | Cianorte | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.