Christiaan Ravych
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christiaan Ravych's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-3.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 88
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2213 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1325
- Opponent strength
- 1389
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €921k – €3.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -48% to +10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 26 | 2213 | 82% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1389 | 1325 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 28 | 2400 | 89% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1366 | 1361 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 15 | 1068 | 40% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1379 | 1394 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 26 | 1734 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1303 | 1373 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Cercle Brugge | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1215 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Cercle Brugge | 4 | 303 | 0 | 0 | 1360 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Cercle Brugge | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1366 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Maras Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Toni Borevković Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Reggie Cannon Liga Portugal · 2021 | 23 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Bruno Onyemaechi Liga Portugal · 2023 | 24 | €2.5M | €2.7M | flat |
| Jesper Daland Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 23 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Levent Gülen Super Lig · 2017 | 23 | €1.3M | €850k | fell |
| Konstantinos Laifis Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 24 | €3.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Super Lig · 2016 | 24 | €2.2M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Jong Cercle | Cercle Brugge | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Club Brugge U18 | Cercle U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Club Brugge Yth | Club Brugge U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Harelbeke Youth | Club Brugge Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.