Anthony Jung
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anthony Jung's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 72.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €268k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 521 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1551
- Opponent strength
- 1492
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €221k – €573k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 45 pts; changed club; team strength up (+68 Elo); relative output up 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -68% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 521 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | CB | 12 | 521 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1492 | 1551 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | CB | 28 | 1898 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1506 | 1483 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | CB | 31 | 2582 | 84% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1532 | 1459 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | LM | 34 | 2635 | 86% | 2 | 5 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 1536 | 1393 | 1.04 |
| 2020/21 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CB | 22 | 1980 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1285 | 1371 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | LB | 24 | 2153 | 92% | 3 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 1276 | 1326 | 0.41 |
| 2018/19 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | LB | 23 | 2070 | 88% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1299 | 1364 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | LB | 19 | 1511 | 65% | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 1265 | 1502 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Bundesliga | LM | 16 | 699 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 1517 | 1401 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | SC Freiburg | 3 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1446 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 284 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 6 | 570 | 0 | 2 | 1392 |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 2 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | 1448 |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 222 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 5 | 466 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Campagnaro Serie A · 2015 | 35 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Stefan Radu Serie A · 2022 | 36 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Abdoulay Konko Serie A · 2017 | 33 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Sokratis Papastathopoulos Laliga · 2024 | 36 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Rolando Ligue 1 · 2019 | 34 | €750k | €200k | fell |
| Víctor Ruiz Laliga · 2023 | 34 | €1.2M | €1.0M | flat |
| Dejan Lovren Ligue 1 · 2024 | 35 | €1.2M | €400k | fell |
| Stefan Bell Bundesliga · 2024 | 33 | €800k | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Werder Bremen | Freiburg | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Bröndby IF | Werder Bremen | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Leipzig | Bröndby IF | €800k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Bröndby IF | Leipzig | Free / loan | €800k |
| 20 Jul 2017 | Leipzig | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Ingolstadt | Leipzig | Free / loan | €800k |
| 4 Aug 2016 | Leipzig | FC Ingolstadt | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | FSV Frankfurt | Leipzig | Free / loan | €250k |
| 5 Jul 2012 | E. Frankfurt II | FSV Frankfurt | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Frankfurt U19 | E. Frankfurt II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Frankfurt U17 | Frankfurt U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Frankfurt Yth. | Frankfurt U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | SV Wehen Jgd. | Frankfurt Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2005 | Biebrich Jugend | SV Wehen Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Wiesbaden Jgd. | Biebrich Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.