Adem Zorgane
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adem Zorgane's performance-implied value at EUR 3.6M-17.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.8M-14.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.0M-16.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (2198 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 23
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 71.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €12.3M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2198 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 72 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1570
- Opponent strength
- 1370
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.0M – €16.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; changed club; team strength up (+255 Elo); relative output down 29% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -16% to +37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 28 | 2198 | 81% | 2 | 4 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 1370 | 1570 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 30 | 2694 | 100% | 1 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 1378 | 1315 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 23 | 1841 | 68% | 2 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 1392 | 1268 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 32 | 2757 | 90% | 4 | 8 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 1319 | 1348 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 30 | 2409 | 79% | 2 | 6 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1338 | 1331 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Union Saint-Gilloise | 9 | 770 | 2 | 1 | 1449 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 673 | 0 | 1 | 1675 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Algeria | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Midtsjø Eredivisie · 2020 | 27 | €8.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Hans Vanaken Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 28 | €12.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Fredrik Aursnes Eredivisie · 2022 | 27 | €12.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Pablo Rosario Eredivisie · 2021 | 24 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Maxime Gonalons Ligue 1 · 2015 | 26 | €16.0M | €14.0M | flat |
| Bibars Natcho Premier Liga · 2014 | 26 | €9.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Jorrit Hendrix Eredivisie · 2019 | 24 | €7.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Alejandro Pozuelo Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 28 | €8.0M | €12.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | R Charleroi SC | Union SG | €4.3M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Paradou AC | R Charleroi SC | €2.0M | €3.3M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Paradou U21 | Paradou AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.