
Bjorn Meijer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bjorn Meijer's performance-implied value at EUR 2.6M-7.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-6.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 53.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 895 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 53 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1334
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €6.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -1% (IQR -40% to +40%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 895 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 21 | 895 | 33% | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.12 | 1334 | 1589 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 5 | 233 | 9% | 0 | 2 | 0.77 | 0.13 | 1193 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 20 | 1345 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1395 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 30 | 2371 | 77% | 3 | 5 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 1304 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | LB | 23 | 1589 | 52% | 2 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 1355 | 1270 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CB | 1 | 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1283 | 1325 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 1722 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 150 | 0 | 1 | 1450 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1335 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 573 | 1 | 1 | 1665 |
| 2022/23 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1420 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 3 | 189 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armando Obispo Eredivisie · 2022 | 23 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Nicolas Isimat-Mirin Eredivisie · 2015 | 24 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Douglas Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €2.5M | €5.5M | rose |
| Joe Mendes Liga Portugal · 2024 | 22 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Renato Tapia Eredivisie · 2018 | 23 | €4.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Matej Mitrovic Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 26 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Hasan Ali Kaldırım Super Lig · 2015 | 26 | €2.8M | €4.5M | rose |
| Atinc Nukan Super Lig · 2017 | 24 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Groningen | Club Brugge | €6.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Groningen U18 | FC Groningen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Groningen U17 | Groningen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Groningen Youth | Groningen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.