Bjorn Meijer

23 yrs · Left-back (also CB) · Netherlands
Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: left · Height: 190 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.3M – €2.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.6M – €7.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.4M – €6.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€228k – €5.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €2.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.6M – €7.1M
Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €6.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bjorn Meijer's performance-implied value at EUR 2.6M-7.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-6.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage53.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.7M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-2% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
895 (33% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.12
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
53 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1334
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.4M – €6.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -1% (IQR -40% to +40%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 895 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLB2189533%120.300.12133415890.65
2024/25Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLB52339%020.770.13119315520.63
2023/24Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLB20134550%100.070.07139515410.63
2022/23Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLB30237177%350.300.14130414910.58
2021/22FC GroningenEredivisieLB23158952%230.280.25135512700.60
2020/21FC GroningenEredivisieCB170%000.000.05128313250.56

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV7194001722
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV3150011450
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff IClub Brugge KV6125001532
2025/26Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV110001545
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV216001636
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingClub Brugge KV117001335
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV8573111665
2022/23Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV183001420
2021/22Knvb BekerFC Groningen318900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Armando Obispo
Eredivisie · 2022
23€3.0M€3.5Mflat
Nicolas Isimat-Mirin
Eredivisie · 2015
24€3.0M€4.0Mrose
Douglas
Premier Liga · 2014
24€2.5M€5.5Mrose
Joe Mendes
Liga Portugal · 2024
22€3.0M€2.5Mflat
Renato Tapia
Eredivisie · 2018
23€4.0M€2.4Mfell
Matej Mitrovic
Jupiler Pro League · 2019
26€3.0M€1.8Mfell
Hasan Ali Kaldırım
Super Lig · 2015
26€2.8M€4.5Mrose
Atinc Nukan
Super Lig · 2017
24€1.5M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022FC GroningenClub Brugge€6.0M€3.0M
1 Jul 2021Groningen U18FC GroningenUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Groningen U17Groningen U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Groningen YouthGroningen U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.