Armando Obispo

27 yrs · Centre-back · Curacao
PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 185 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€4.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€1.4M – €4.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.6M – €4.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.6M – €4.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.4M – €3.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €4.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €4.6M
Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €4.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Armando Obispo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-4.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-4.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.8M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage54.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.9M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-27% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
807 (26% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
55 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1606
Opponent strength
1240
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.6M – €4.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -64% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 807 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB1780726%200.220.06124016060.43
2024/25PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB1441313%100.220.06130716320.50
2023/24PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB91625%000.000.03130016590.48
2022/23PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB22172456%210.160.06134316490.58
2021/22PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB17105635%100.090.04137816410.60
2020/21PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB51585%000.000.03136015670.56
2019/20Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieCB262337100%010.040.04133913930.62
2017/18PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB2211%000.000.02118716360.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven6322001702
2025/26World CupCuraçao327000—
2025/26Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven327000—
2025/26Johan Cruijff SchaalPSV Eindhoven14001297
2024/25Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven6260001767
2024/25Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven313400—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven291001779
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingPSV Eindhoven4347101611
2022/23Uefa Europa LeaguePSV Eindhoven6345011548
2022/23Johan Cruijff SchaalPSV Eindhoven190001749
2021/22Uefa Europa LeaguePSV Eindhoven4221001511
2021/22Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven218000—
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingPSV Eindhoven3136001525
2021/22Johan Cruijff SchaalPSV Eindhoven117001722
2019/20Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem218000—
2018/19Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven12000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Roderick Miranda
Super League 1 · 2019
28€1.8M€1.5Mflat
Çağlar Söyüncü
Super Lig · 2024
28€10.0M€3.5Mfell
Ewerton
Liga Portugal · 2016
27€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Moritz Bauer
Scottish Premiership · 2020
28€1.6M€400kfell
Mert Müldür
Super Lig · 2024
25€4.2M€7.0Mrose
Derrick Köhn
Super Lig · 2024
25€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Charlie Mulgrew
Scottish Premiership · 2016
30€2.8M€1.0Mfell
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Premier Liga · 2022
25€2.5M€4.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2020VitessePSVFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2019PSVVitesseFree / loan€750k
1 Jul 2017PSV U19PSVUnknown€75k
1 Jul 2016PSV U17PSV U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015PSV Yth.PSV U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.