Nikola Stulic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nikola Stulic's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-6.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-5.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1932 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 28
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 52.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.1M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1932 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1347
- Opponent strength
- 1501
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €4.4M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+96 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -35% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Lecce | Serie A | ST | 34 | 1715 | 50% | 4 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 1501 | 1352 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 3 | 217 | 8% | 1 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 1376 | 1307 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 18 | 1443 | 53% | 9 | 0 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 1385 | 1315 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 15 | 438 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.52 | 1367 | 1268 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 8 | 313 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 1235 | 1348 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 1342 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Radnicki Nis | 2 | 136 | 1 | 0 | 1290 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Crivelli Ligue 1 · 2018 | 23 | €4.0M | €4.8M | rose |
| Jonathan Cristaldo Serie A · 2014 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pedro Henrique Ligue 1 · 2015 | 25 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Jerry Mbakogu Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €2.6M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pontus Almqvist Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Kamil Grosicki Super Lig · 2013 | 25 | €3.8M | €2.0M | fell |
| Luis Caballero Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Tete Morente Laliga · 2023 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | R Charleroi SC | Lecce | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Radnicki Nis | R Charleroi SC | €750k | €1.5M |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Partizan | Radnicki Nis | Free / loan | €300k |
| 4 May 2020 | Partizan U19 | Partizan | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Partizan U17 | Partizan U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Teleoptik U17 | Partizan U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 5 Aug 2016 | Partizan U17 | Teleoptik U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Partizan U15 | Partizan U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Partizan Youth | Partizan U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.