Liam Delap
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Liam Delap's performance-implied value at EUR 11.4M-37.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.3M-40.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 14.6M-32.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.46x the positional average in the league (1101 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 9
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 84.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €32.9M vs market €28.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1101 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1615
- Opponent strength
- 1562
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €14.6M – €32.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 44 pts; changed club; team strength up (+293 Elo); relative output down 66% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -2% (IQR -30% to +42%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1101 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | ST | 28 | 1101 | 32% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 1562 | 1615 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Ipswich Town | Premier League | ST | 37 | 2616 | 76% | 12 | 2 | 0.48 | 0.72 | 1582 | 1322 | 1.23 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 1 | 39 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1586 | 1883 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 5 | 224 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 5 | 184 | 1 | 0 | 1620 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Ipswich Town | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Stoke City | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Depay Premier League · 2016 | 22 | €25.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Antony Premier League · 2024 | 24 | €25.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Iker Muniain Laliga · 2016 | 24 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Joel Campbell Laliga · 2015 | 23 | €5.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Mario Balotelli Premier League · 2015 | 25 | €11.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Alex Iwobi Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €25.5M | €18.0M | fell |
| Timo Werner Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €35.0M | €17.0M | fell |
| Sofiane Boufal Premier League · 2017 | 24 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2025 | Ipswich | Chelsea | €35.5M | €40.0M |
| 13 Jul 2024 | Man City U21 | Ipswich | €17.9M | €8.0M |
| 31 May 2024 | Hull City | Man City U21 | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 2 Jul 2023 | Man City U21 | Hull City | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 31 May 2023 | Preston | Man City U21 | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 12 Jan 2023 | Man City U21 | Preston | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Stoke City | Man City U21 | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Man City U21 | Stoke City | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Man City U18 | Man City U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Derby Youth | Man City U18 | €1.3M | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.