Alex Iwobi

The model rates Alex Iwobi's performance-implied value at EUR 17.6M-33.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.9M-19.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.5M-10.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (2436 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2436 (71% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.26

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.33

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1576

Opponent strength

1585

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€5.5M – €10.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; relative output down 25% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -65% to -29%).

• ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.