Mohamed Bamba
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Bamba's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.13x the positional average in the league (677 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 40.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.0M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 677 (22% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.57
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1487
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €906k – €3.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -30% to +65%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 677 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 18 | 677 | 22% | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 0.57 | 1487 | 1420 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 16 | 1149 | 38% | 8 | 3 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 1469 | 1335 | 0.87 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Gaich Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €1.8M | €1.4M | fell |
| Gaëtan Charbonnier Ligue 1 · 2013 | 25 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Pietro Iemmello Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Federico Bonazzoli Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €1.6M | €5.0M | rose |
| Sekou Oliseh Premier Liga · 2015 | 25 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Tanguy Coulibaly Ligue 1 · 2024 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Giuseppe De Luca Serie A · 2014 | 23 | €3.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Steven Zuber Bundesliga · 2016 | 25 | €2.0M | €7.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2024 | Wolfsberger AC | FC Lorient | €5.0M | €1.2M |
| 28 Jul 2023 | H Rishon leZion | Wolfsberger AC | €200k | €300k |
| 7 Jan 2020 | Bouaké FC | H Rishon leZion | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.