Haissem Hassan

24 yrs · Right winger · Egypt
Real Oviedo · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 175 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€3.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.5M – €4.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.2M – €4.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.9M – €4.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.7M – €2.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €4.3M
Projected value (24 months)€1.9M – €4.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Haissem Hassan's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-4.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1943 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 90

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage41.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.9M vs market €3.5M
Expected appreciationLow-11% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1943 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.36
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
41 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1294
Opponent strength
1507
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.9M – €4.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -42% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Real OviedoLaligaRW37194357%030.140.36150712940.95
2022/23Villarreal CFLaligaRW2501%000.000.34146415810.98

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyReal Oviedo18100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Luis Caballero
Premier Liga · 2014
24€2.5M€1.8Mfell
Pontus Almqvist
Serie A · 2024
25€3.0M€1.8Mfell
Enzo Crivelli
Ligue 1 · 2018
23€4.0M€4.8Mrose
Hendrik Weydandt
Bundesliga · 2019
24€1.5M€800kfell
Virgil Misidjan
Bundesliga · 2019
26€3.5M€1.0Mfell
Diego Rolán
Laliga · 2018
25€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Yeni Ngbakoto
Ligue 1 · 2015
23€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Jerry Mbakogu
Serie A · 2016
24€2.6M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Aug 2024VillarrealReal Oviedo€1.5M€2.0M
30 Jun 2024Sporting GijónVillarrealFree / loan€2.0M
1 Aug 2023VillarrealSporting GijónFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jul 2023Villarreal CF BVillarrealUnknown€1.5M
30 Jun 2022CD MirandésVillarreal CF BFree / loan€1.5M
9 Aug 2021Villarreal CF BCD MirandésFree / loan€2.0M
2 Oct 2020LB ChâteaurouxVillarreal CF B€2.0M€1.0M
1 Jul 2019Châteauroux BLB ChâteaurouxUnknown€500k
1 Jul 2018Châteauroux U17Châteauroux BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Paris FC Yth.Châteauroux U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.