Artur Ryabov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Artur Ryabov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.63x the positional average in the league (2257 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 82
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €813k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2257 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1176
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €551k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 57 pts; changed club; relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -17% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | CM | 28 | 2257 | 84% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1176 | 1242 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CM | 12 | 663 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1183 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2024/25 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | CM | 4 | 66 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1241 | 1185 | 0.28 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 75 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Kyryukhantsev Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Vitaliy Boyko Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Ibrahim Kane Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Iver Fossum Superliga · 2020 | 24 | €1.2M | €1.5M | rose |
| Lewis Baker Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Flávio Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Damian Szymański Super League 1 · 2022 | 27 | €1.8M | €3.5M | rose |
| Charilaos Charisis Super League 1 · 2020 | 25 | €550k | €600k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Rukh Lviv | LNZ Cherkasy | Free / loan | €400k |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Karpaty Lviv | Rukh Lviv | Free / loan | €200k |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Volyn Lutsk | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Volyn Lutsk II | Volyn Lutsk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 2 Aug 2018 | Volyn Lutsk U19 | Volyn Lutsk II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 21 Mar 2018 | MFA Munkach U19 | Volyn Lutsk U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 4 Sept 2017 | BRW-VIK | MFA Munkach U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.