Ibrahim Kane
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ibrahim Kane's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1234 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €324k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1234 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1200
- Opponent strength
- 1185
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €281k – €803k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 41 pts; changed club; team strength up (+112 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -42% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1234 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RM | 27 | 1234 | 46% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 1185 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | RM | 30 | 2351 | 87% | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1194 | 1088 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | RM | 29 | 2415 | 89% | 2 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 1271 | 1157 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | LM | 11 | 787 | 29% | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 1298 | 1296 | 0.38 |
| 2020/21 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | LM | 23 | 1932 | 83% | 4 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 1288 | 1291 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | LB | 14 | 1127 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1388 | 1216 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | LB | 4 | 268 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1324 | 1299 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 4 | 328 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1348 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 3 | 330 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1668 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keanu Baccus Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Talles Brener Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Ryan Strain Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €850k | €450k | fell |
| Yegor Tverdokhlib Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €500k | €1.8M | rose |
| Oleg Ilyin Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Alan Forrest Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 27 | €550k | €500k | flat |
| Deni Milosevic Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €1.9M | €550k | fell |
| Pavlo Orikhovskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2025 | Vorskla Poltava | Kolos Kovalivka | €300k | €700k |
| 31 Dec 2022 | QD Hainiu | Vorskla Poltava | Free / loan | €900k |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Vorskla Poltava | QD Hainiu | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 2 Jul 2020 | Duguwolofila | Vorskla Poltava | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Vorskla Poltava | Duguwolofila | Free / loan | €350k |
| 3 Sept 2018 | Duguwolofila | Vorskla Poltava | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | AS Bakaridjan | Duguwolofila | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.