
Enis Cokaj
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Enis Cokaj's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.69x the positional average in the league (2194 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 83
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 22.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €545k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2194 (94% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1254
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €448k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts; team strength up (+133 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -43% to +33%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | DM | 25 | 2194 | 94% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1254 | 1260 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | DM | 22 | 1764 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1280 | 1128 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | DM | 2 | 37 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1216 | 1453 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | DM | 15 | 181 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1211 | 1414 | 0.37 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 6 | 312 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1387 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Poulsen Superliga · 2022 | 29 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Marcel Rømer Superliga · 2019 | 28 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Lasha Parunashvili Superliga · 2019 | 26 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Mark Brink Superliga · 2024 | 26 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic Super League 1 · 2019 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Jens Jønsson Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.2M | €4.0M | rose |
| Bjarke Jacobsen Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €400k | €325k | flat |
| Dálcio Super League 1 · 2022 | 26 | €600k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Panathinaikos | VfL Bochum | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Levadiakos | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Panathinaikos | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €850k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | NK Osijek | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €850k |
| 24 Jan 2024 | Panathinaikos | NK Osijek | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 15 Sept 2022 | NK Lokomotiva | Panathinaikos | €1.0M | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | KF Laçi | NK Lokomotiva | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 21 Jan 2019 | NK Lokomotiva | KF Laçi | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Lokomotiva U19 | NK Lokomotiva | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 14 Feb 2018 | Shkëndija U19 | Lokomotiva U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Shkëndija U17 | Shkëndija U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 26 Sept 2014 | Vllaznia U15 | Shkëndija U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.