Mark Brink
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mark Brink's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.39x the positional average in the league (1219 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 82
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €650k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1219 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1315
- Opponent strength
- 1264
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €822k – €2.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; league level up (+45 Elo); role change CM -> DM; relative output down 27% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -57% (IQR -65% to -45%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1219 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | DM | 19 | 1219 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1264 | 1314 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | CM | 15 | 1242 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1275 | 1341 | 0.38 |
| 2024/25 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | DM | 5 | 450 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 1281 | 1264 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | DM | 22 | 1967 | 99% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1295 | 1238 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | DM | 19 | 1404 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1319 | 1266 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | DM | 22 | 1883 | 95% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 1277 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2019/20 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | DM | 10 | 413 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1230 | 1137 | 0.41 |
| 2019/20 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | DM | 4 | 52 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1353 | 1098 | 0.41 |
| 2018/19 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | DM | 21 | 728 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1338 | 1239 | 0.44 |
| 2016/17 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | DM | 7 | 204 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1333 | 1206 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | DM | 6 | 269 | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.27 | 1308 | 1224 | 0.53 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 325 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 191 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1536 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 7 | 547 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 292 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1367 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Esbjerg fB | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | Esbjerg fB | 4 | 356 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | Esbjerg fB | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rienstra Eredivisie · 2017 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Artem Makarchuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €2.3M | €700k | fell |
| Filipe Augusto Liga Portugal · 2021 | 28 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Pol Llonch Eredivisie · 2021 | 29 | €1.4M | €700k | fell |
| Pavlo Ksyonz Premier Liga · 2016 | 29 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Dmytro Ivanisenya Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Khaleem Hyland Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nicolai Poulsen Superliga · 2021 | 28 | €800k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2024 | Silkeborg IF | Nordsjaelland | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Esbjerg fB | Silkeborg IF | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Esbjerg fB U19 | Esbjerg fB | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Esbjerg Youth | Esbjerg fB U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.