Tedi Cara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tedi Cara's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (2006 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €448k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2006 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1158
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €425k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 39 pts; team strength down (-240 Elo); relative output down 24% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -43% to +15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LW | 27 | 2006 | 74% | 6 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 1158 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LW | 13 | 951 | 35% | 6 | 3 | 0.85 | 0.55 | 1177 | 1309 | 0.28 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 1343 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Partizani | 4 | 321 | 1 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladyslav Bugay Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Ahmad Mendes Moreira Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Oleg Vyshnevskyi Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Yuriy Yakovenko Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €650k | €200k | fell |
| Dorin Rotariu Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Levan Shengelia Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Eduardo Guerrero Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Milos Deletic Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €400k | €700k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | FK Partizani | FC Oleksandriya | €200k | €325k |
| 27 Jan 2020 | KS Besa | FK Partizani | €75k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KS Besa U17 | KS Besa | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.