Dylan Tait
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dylan Tait's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.28x the positional average in the league (2388 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 88
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €560k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2388 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1181
- Opponent strength
- 1222
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €504k – €1.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -32% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Falkirk FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 33 | 2388 | 80% | 3 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1222 | 1181 | 0.31 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Falkirk FC | 4 | 417 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Arbroath FC | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talles Brener Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Ryan Strain Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €650k | €600k | flat |
| Leighton Clarkson Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Iago Siqueira Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €400k | €500k | rose |
| Franco Mazurek Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Mustafa Amini Superliga · 2019 | 26 | €700k | €200k | fell |
| Kenny McLean Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 23 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Matthew Smith Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €400k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Falkirk | Dundee United | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Hibernian B | Falkirk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2024 | Falkirk | Hibernian B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 22 Jan 2024 | Hibernian B | Falkirk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Hamilton Acad. | Hibernian B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Jul 2023 | Hibernian B | Hamilton Acad. | Free / loan | €325k |
| 31 May 2023 | Arbroath | Hibernian B | Free / loan | €325k |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Hibernian B | Arbroath | Free / loan | €400k |
| 10 May 2022 | Kilmarnock FC | Hibernian B | Free / loan | €400k |
| 20 Jan 2022 | Hibernian B | Kilmarnock FC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 3 Jan 2022 | Raith Rovers | Hibernian B | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Sept 2021 | Hibernian B | Raith Rovers | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Raith Rovers | Hibernian B | Unknown | €350k |
| 24 Jan 2019 | Fife Elite FA | Raith Rovers | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Thistle WYA | Fife Elite FA | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.