Tyrhys Dolan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tyrhys Dolan's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-8.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.8M-14.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.3M-16.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (2433 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 51
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.3M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2433 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1399
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.3M – €16.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +60% (IQR -14% to +116%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | RW | 36 | 2433 | 71% | 2 | 6 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 1485 | 1399 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 2 | 31 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Krstović Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €6.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Beto Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Alberto Paloschi Serie A · 2015 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Simone Zaza Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €11.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Sergio Camello Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €10.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Ihlas Bebou Bundesliga · 2018 | 24 | €8.5M | €8.0M | flat |
| Mateo Retegui Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €16.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €11.0M | €30.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | Blackburn | Espanyol | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Preston U19 | Blackburn | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2020 | Clitheroe | Preston U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 28 Feb 2020 | Preston U19 | Clitheroe | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PNE Academy | Preston U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Man City Youth | PNE Academy | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.