Youssouph Badji

24 yrs · Striker · Senegal
Aarhus GF · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€354k – €1.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€376k – €781k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€456k – €1.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€719k – €427k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€354k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€376k – €781k
Projected value (24 months)€456k – €1.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Youssouph Badji's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.29x the positional average in the league (525 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average7.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €601k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationNeutral-4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
525 (22% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.69
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.66
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
7 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1194
Opponent strength
1197
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€456k – €1.6M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-129 Elo); relative output up 33% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR +0% to +106%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 525 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1ST650021%220.720.66119711820.43
2025/26Aarhus GFSuperligaST6251%000.000.45132014410.47
2024/25Aarhus GFSuperligaST1025713%121.050.44119613290.38
2024/25Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST52048%010.440.61139713150.63
2023/24Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST2093335%000.000.35140012680.63
2022/23Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST26117638%500.380.45133413480.58
2021/22Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST954718%000.000.32136813310.49
2021/22Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1ST91294%000.000.56139213690.86
2020/21Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST2494031%410.480.30135215700.55

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Oddset PokalenAarhus GF210600—
2024/25Oddset PokalenAarhus GF421021—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV253001503
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV232001688

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Nikolas Agrafiotis
Eredivisie · 2024
24€600k€600kflat
Ahmed Yasser Rayan
Super Lig · 2022
24€1.0M€1.2Mrose
Fabián Muñoz
Super League 1 · 2017
26€600k€200kfell
Ion Nicolaescu
Eredivisie · 2024
26€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Georgios Giakoumakis
Super League 1 · 2019
25€400k€2.5Mrose
Zymer Bytyqi
Super Lig · 2021
25€1.1M€3.5Mrose
Jack Vale
Scottish Premiership · 2024
23€500k€500kflat
Makana Baku
Super League 1 · 2024
26€450k€800krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026PanetolikosAarhus GFFree / loan€800k
30 Jan 2026Aarhus GFPanetolikosFree / loan€900k
2 Sept 2024R Charleroi SCAarhus GF€1.4M€750k
6 Jul 2023Club BruggeR Charleroi SCUnknown€1.5M
30 Jun 2023R Charleroi SCClub BruggeFree / loan€1.5M
31 Jan 2022Club BruggeR Charleroi SCFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jan 2022Stade BrestoisClub BruggeFree / loan€2.5M
30 Aug 2021Club BruggeStade BrestoisFree / loan€3.5M
3 Jan 2020Casa SportsClub Brugge€700k€150k

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.