Said Hamulic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Said Hamulic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.41x the positional average in the league (1014 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 99
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €172k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1014 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.53
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.71
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 13)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1259
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €275k – €596k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -5% to +5%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1014 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | ST | 15 | 1014 | 43% | 4 | 2 | 0.53 | 0.71 | 1259 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | ST | 13 | 715 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.38 | 1391 | 1158 | 0.48 |
| 2023/24 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | ST | 1 | 15 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 1435 | 1416 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | ST | 6 | 98 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1417 | 1347 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 3 | 137 | 4 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adil Nabi Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €250k | €500k | rose |
| Andreas Smed Superliga · 2024 | 27 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Denzel Jubitana Super League 1 · 2024 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Admir Bajrovic Super League 1 · 2020 | 25 | €325k | €400k | rose |
| Lyle Taylor Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 24 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Kenan Bargan Super League 1 · 2016 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Scott Tiffoney Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Panagiotis Triadis Super League 1 · 2019 | 27 | €425k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | Toulouse | Wisla Plock | Free / loan | €500k |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Volos NFC | Toulouse | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Toulouse | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Widzew Lodz | Toulouse | Free / loan | €400k |
| 24 Jul 2024 | Toulouse | Widzew Lodz | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Loko Moscow | Toulouse | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Jan 2024 | Toulouse | Loko Moscow | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Vitesse | Toulouse | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 18 Jul 2023 | Toulouse | Vitesse | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Stal Mielec | Toulouse | €2.5M | €1.5M |
| 18 Jan 2023 | DFK Dainava | Stal Mielec | €150k | €1.5M |
| 17 Jan 2023 | Stal Mielec | DFK Dainava | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 14 Jul 2022 | DFK Dainava | Stal Mielec | Free / loan | €375k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Suduva | DFK Dainava | Free / loan | €375k |
| 17 Mar 2022 | DFK Dainava | Suduva | Free / loan | €300k |
| 16 Mar 2022 | Botev Plovdiv | DFK Dainava | Free / loan | €300k |
| 25 Feb 2022 | DFK Dainava | Botev Plovdiv | Free / loan | €300k |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Quick Boys U21 | DFK Dainava | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Without Club | Quick Boys U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Go Ahead U19 | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2019 | Without Club | Go Ahead U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Alphense B. U17 | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.